Davydenko-Blake match suspended, Montanes rolls in Estoril

Tennis Betting Lines

05/09/2009 - Estoril, Portugal (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Three-time finalist Nikolay Davydenko and fourth-seeded American James Blake had their match suspended due to darkness, but seventh-seeded Spaniard Albert Montanes made short work of Chilean Paul Capdeville Saturday in the semifinals at the $595,000 clay-court Estoril Open.

The second-seeded Davydenko, who titled here in 2003, lost to the great Roger Federer in last year's finale and also came up short in the 2006 final, beat Blake 7-6 (7-3) in the first set and was trailing 4-2 in the second set before the stoppage at National Stadium.

Davydenko moved to the semis with a 6-4, 6-3 handling of sixth-seeded American Mardy Fish on Friday at this French Open tune-up. Blake drove past eighth-seeded Frenchman Florent Serra 6-4, 6-1 to meet Davydenko.

Blake is a flawless 6-0 lifetime against the world No. 11 Russian star -- all six of those victories have come on hardcourts, though.

Meanwhile, Montanes cruised past Capdeville 6-3, 6-4 to advance to the finals. Montanes, who upended top seed and world No. 8 Gilles Simon 5-7, 6-4, 7-6 (7-4) to get to the semis, will, of course, face the winner of the Davydenko- Blake match in the finals. Capdeville overcame Spaniard Oscar Hernandez 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 to make it to the semis.

Davydenko and Blake will resume their match on Sunday. The winner will then play Montanes in the final, also on Sunday.

The 2009 Estoril champ will collect $96,000.

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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined

Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.

"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."

Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)

According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.

As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).

Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.

Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at

17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.

*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007

New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers

By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.

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While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."

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